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Last week was constructive for Sterling exchange rates with GBPEUR ending the week at 1.1685, and GBPUSD ending the week at 1.27. EURUSD was also bullish last week closing on Friday at 1.0870.
As we enter a new week, there are different data releases to focus on which could shift the mood as far as exchange rates are concerned, on Monday we have a relatively quiet day but we do have a few speeches, the most noteworthy being from BoE’s Broadbent and Barr, Waller and Jefferson of the Fed.

Earlier in the week we did see both core inflation and inflation levels decrease in April for the US. While retail sales showed a slowdown too, this lead to USD weakness. Market speculated that a chance of US lower their borrowing costs in September increased. The recent USD weakness came to a halt last night after a number of speeches from Federal Reserve officials.

Quieter times are expected for The US Dollar over the next few weeks after recent economic releases initially showed mixed signals with their economy. Yesterday’s April Inflation release showed a slight drop as expected, as Inflation excluding food and energy increased by a mere 0.3% against a 0.4% projection.

Technical indicators are one of the main factors that most traders rely on to determine the presence of imbalances in the financial markets. Such indicators help to understand the current market situation and help determine the price.

Recent market focus has centered around European Inflation figures with Germany’s April Inflation figures released yesterday. Inflation in general rose slightly more than anticipated off the back of strong food and energy prices, initially denting investors hopes on an Interest Rate cut next month.

Consumer prices increased by 0.1% in April compared to the same period 12 months prior, however when stripping food and energy prices out, Inflation had actually fallen from 3.3% to 3%. What this shows is the difficulty that many Central Banks globally are experiencing in bringing inflation down to the preferred 2% level.

This morning we have seen German inflation levels cooled down for its first time in 2024, being unchanged from March to April at 2.2%. After 3 consecutive months of drop in inflation for the European country, it has now flatlined. Inflation is not the issue for Germany and other European countries, what has been and continues to be the concern is lack of economic growth.