First two days of this week have not included much data, even if we have seen some volatility on the markets its mainly from reactions from earnings reports last week. We can see that liquidity is filling stock markets across the world that has been the general factor for minor movements on currency pairs.
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Last week delivered a blow to the Pound following GDP figures which showed the UK entered a recession last quarter- This wasn’t really news to us however now it has been made official we saw an effect to the exchange rates- both GBPEUR and GBPUSD fell after enjoying a month and a half of gains.
The Pound has continued its current slide against both the US Dollar and Euro, falling to fresh lows after it was confirmed earlier this morning that The UK fell into during the second half of 2023. GBP/EUR has now dipped below 1.17 just minutes after this release, with figures showing that the UK economy actually shrank by 0.3% quarter on quarter.
Pound Sterling has continued to be supported through last week and now faces a heavy week of economic data, which will no doubt play on the minds of The Bank of England regarding future Interest Rate moves. Up first, we have UK Employment Data, particularly the unemployment rate which forecasts currently suggest will have risen slightly from 3.9% to 4%.
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RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) went down the same path as other central banks last week and kept rates on hold for now. No surprises here, as the majority of central banks still waiting to see when the Federal Reserve will make their next move and follow suit.
Last week was generally quite stable for Sterling following the Bank of England decision where rates were held with no real immediate concern for any cuts coming soon- the big news though was the NFP report on Friday which showed that the U.S had added 353k jobs in January, which was almost double expectation.
